Finding the contract
CME lists September 28, 2026 as the first trade date and confirms standard and Micro NHL futures are available. Participation requires a broker that supports the relevant contract and permits access for your account and jurisdiction. NHLFutures provides research and does not execute orders.
Contract size and multiplier
CME’s published specifications show $10 per index point for the standard contract and $0.10 for the micro. At 7,500, those imply notionals of $75,000 and $750 respectively. Notional exposure is not the amount of margin required.
Reading a contract quote
A contract quote should identify the team, expiry, bid, ask, quote time, currency, and multiplier. The bid is the best displayed price from a buyer, and the ask is the best displayed price from a seller. The last trade records an earlier transaction, so you may not be able to trade at that price now.
Consider a hypothetical bid of 7,600 and ask of 7,604. Buying at 7,604 and immediately selling at 7,600 loses four points even if the broader market has not moved. That is $40 for one standard contract or $0.40 for one micro, before fees. Greater depth or a narrower spread cannot be assumed for a newly launched product.
An example of profit and loss
For one hypothetical standard long contract entered at 7,600 and exited at 7,650, the 50-point increase produces $500 before costs. A short position has the opposite result. A 50-point fall produces a $500 loss for the long. With the micro multiplier, those amounts are $5. These are arithmetic examples, not forecasts or suggested trades.
Daily settlement and margin
Futures positions are marked to market: settlement-price changes lead to cash gains or losses while a position remains open. A settlement price is an exchange valuation used for this process; it need not be the last trade you happen to see.
Suppose you buy one standard contract at 7,600. A first settlement at 7,550 produces a $500 loss, followed by a $1,000 gain if the next settlement is 7,650. The two cash flows add up to $500 before costs, which matches the 50-point net move. The interim loss still matters because your account has to meet the margin requirement along the way.
What to check before placing an order
Futures use margin and can produce losses beyond the initial deposit. A favorable hockey view does not establish a profitable entry price.
- Confirm the team, expiry, multiplier, current trading status, and settlement rules.
- Read your broker’s initial and maintenance margin requirements and liquidation policy.
- Inspect the bid, ask, spread, and available depth—not just the last trade.
- Understand order types, fees, daily mark-to-market, and what happens at expiry.
- If holding exposure beyond expiry, understand how closing one contract and opening another changes the position.
Orders, closing a position, and expiry
A market order prioritizes execution, but the fill can move through available prices. A limit order sets an acceptable price but may not fill. A stop is a trigger mechanism, not a guarantee against a gap or a worse fill. Learn the specific order behavior offered by your broker rather than assuming every platform behaves identically.
Closing an existing long generally means selling the same contract; opening a short is a different position decision. If you want exposure after that expiry, a roll closes or reduces the old contract and establishes the later one. The later contract can be at a different level. Keeping the same team name does not make the two expiries interchangeable.
Financial settlement means the contract resolves in cash under its rules. You do not receive team shares, tickets, or ownership rights. Use the current exchange specification for the exact last-trading and final-settlement schedule; do not assume the end of a hockey game is the expiry of your contract.
Comparing a quote with a forecast
For the comparison to mean much, the team, horizon, timestamp, and units have to match. A season-end forecast should not be placed directly beside a nearer contract expiry. When our forecast is above a quote, it means the model and market disagree under those assumptions; whether that difference survives uncertainty and trading costs is a separate question.
Independent educational research. Examples are hypothetical unless stated otherwise. Read current exchange rules and fund documents for product terms.
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